Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 18.327111 21.327306 24.611562 28.466544 32.860072 37.703790 43.440484
2024-10-20 12.942798 16.911341 21.714743 27.922518 35.694923 45.063580 57.166099
2024-10-27 9.468708 13.593489 19.005845 26.553058 36.717201 49.831181 67.913021
2024-11-03 8.200009 12.699005 18.995047 28.315402 41.597589 59.650113 85.799218
2024-11-10 7.424367 12.272941 19.441817 30.603790 47.279168 70.939263 106.622195
2024-11-17 6.332426 11.141642 18.633385 30.864735 49.957832 78.143430 122.249313
2024-11-24 5.324492 9.943349 17.503784 30.409831 51.396377 83.530985 135.545322
2024-12-01 4.433896 8.772110 16.219605 29.484666 51.904176 87.430200 146.772927
2024-12-08 3.846984 8.027483 15.524728 29.404530 53.694508 93.384430 161.566230
2024-12-15 3.399105 7.459547 15.046792 29.608763 55.927713 100.164478 178.129471
2024-12-22 2.778162 6.441535 13.598542 27.877884 54.590108 100.852876 184.622776
2024-12-29 2.562224 6.213038 13.607349 28.827176 58.092050 109.994361 206.002948
2025-01-05 2.393568 6.084530 13.847868 30.353952 63.006841 122.350277 234.547774
2025-01-12 2.038971 5.480480 13.047444 29.755960 63.914917 127.766134 251.544970
2025-01-19 1.673338 4.771379 11.908314 28.301043 62.975221 129.691100 262.375953
2025-01-26 1.599702 4.766164 12.316316 30.166843 68.872776 144.922270 298.986510
2025-02-02 1.564790 4.853866 12.946862 32.589525 76.145820 163.351323 342.958889
2025-02-09 1.402048 4.564182 12.641760 32.865701 78.909067 173.150281 371.029511
2025-02-16 1.220564 4.180927 12.045739 32.384161 79.968498 179.600425 392.976671
2025-02-23 1.041544 3.761690 11.287244 31.404718 79.799087 183.487084 410.029057
2025-03-02 0.925267 3.506784 10.915512 31.319874 81.638527 191.678206 436.385500
2025-03-09 0.834661 3.312646 10.676421 31.536105 84.191817 201.567131 466.923059
2025-03-16 0.685741 2.883255 9.702579 29.703274 81.657092 200.206462 473.642569